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Feirense vs Torreense Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Regular Season - 31 ·Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 17:00

Feirense

PPG 1.53 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Torreense

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.6%0-115.7%0-29.1%0-33.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.4%1-113.2%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.8%2-15.5%2-23.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.3%3-11.6%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 35.2% 2.84 -19.1%

Draw 32.3% 32.3% 3.10 +0.1%

Away win 39.2% 41.3% 2.42 -5.1%

Over 2.5 39.4% 43.5% 2.30 -9.4%

Over 3.5 14.2% 23.1% 4.33 -38.5%

BTTS 49.5% 52.4% 1.91 -5.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.5%

A 39% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 13.6%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 15.7%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Feirense0.8

Torreense1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.4% · O3.5 PROB 14.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FEIRENSE · PPG 1.53

TORREENSE · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Feirense (H) 28.5%

ODDS 2.84 · IMPLIED 35.2% EV -19.1%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +0.1%

Torreense (A) 39.2%

ODDS 2.42 · IMPLIED 41.3% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Feirense face Torreense in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feirense a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Torreense 39%, so Torreense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Feirense and 1.2 for Torreense (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feirense are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.53 for Torreense. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Feirense vs Torreense Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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