RFS vs Riga FC Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 9 LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass· Riga Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:00

RFS PPG 2.25

3-3 MISS

Riga FC PPG 2.40

Home· +20.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%

Odds: 2.65 EV: +20.6%

Draw 29.5%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -2.6%

Away 25.0%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -40.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.93 -3.5%

Over 3.5 23.5% Odds: 3.35 -21.3%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

RFS

1.51

Riga FC

0.95

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+20.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.40)