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Bonner SC vs Oberhausen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 20 ·Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 17:00

Bonner SC

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Oberhausen

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-116.3%0-211.9%0-35.8%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.2%1-111.9%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-03.0%2-14.4%2-23.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.7%3-11.1%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.1% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 43.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 17.9% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob49.5%

A 44% / xG 0.7-1.5 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.3%

#2 1–1✓ 11.9%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 0–2 11.9%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bonner SC0.7

Oberhausen1.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BONNER SC · PPG 1.14

OBERHAUSEN · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Bonner SC (H) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oberhausen (A) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bonner SC face Oberhausen in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bonner SC a 26% chance, the draw 30% and Oberhausen 44%, so Oberhausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bonner SC and 1.5 for Oberhausen (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bonner SC are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.07 for Oberhausen. This match finished 1-1.

Bonner SC vs Oberhausen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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