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K. Ismailia vs National Bank Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League logo Egypt flag Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 7 Suez Canal Stadium· Ismailia Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:00
K. Ismailia logo K. Ismailia PPG 0.33
1-3 MISS
National Bank logo National Bank PPG 1.38
Over2.5· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

K. Ismailia face National Bank in Egypt - Premier League on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives K. Ismailia a 16% chance, the draw 29% and National Bank 55%, so National Bank are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for K. Ismailia and 1.9 for National Bank (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, K. Ismailia are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.38 for National Bank. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.2%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.8%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -35.2%
Draw 29.4%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -5.9%
Away 54.8%
Odds: 1.88 EV: +3.0%
Model lean: Away
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 2.00 +3.2%
Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: 3.45 +1.4%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.77 -6.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

K. Ismailia
0.87
National Bank
1.87

Model Suggestion

Away +3.0% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+3.2%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.33)

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