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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 30 King Khalid Sports City· Tabuk Tuesday, April 28, 2026 16:45
Neom SC logo Neom SC PPG 1.21
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Al Hazm logo Al Hazm PPG 1.00
Away· +50.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -40.6%
Draw 32.7%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +34.1%
Away 29.5%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +50.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.62 -19.0%
Over 3.5 22.4% Odds: 2.60 -41.8%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Neom SC
1.35
Al Hazm
1.07

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+50.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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