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Al Zulfi vs Al Tai Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 31 ·Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 16:10

Al Zulfi

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Tai

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-110.4%0-26.0%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.3%1-113.0%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-18.2%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.0%3-13.4%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 51.3% 1.95 -26.3%

Draw 32.7% 29.4% 3.40 +11.2%

Away win 29.5% 29.4% 3.40 +0.3%

Over 2.5 50.0% 51.8% 1.93 -3.5%

Over 3.5 22.3% 29.9% 3.35 -25.3%

BTTS 52.6% 57.8% 1.73 -9.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

D 33% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.0%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Zulfi1.3

Al Tai1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ZULFI · PPG 1.33

AL TAI · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Al Zulfi (H) 37.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -26.3%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +11.2%

Al Tai (A) 29.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Zulfi face Al Tai in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Zulfi a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Al Tai 30%, so Al Zulfi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Zulfi and 1.1 for Al Tai (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Zulfi are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.40 for Al Tai. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Zulfi vs Al Tai Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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