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Egypt - Premier League logo Egypt flag Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 7 Al Salam Stadium· Cairo Tuesday, April 28, 2026 14:00
Petrojet logo Petrojet PPG 1.67
0-1 MISS
Ismaily logo Ismaily PPG 0.43
Draw· +6.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%
Odds: 1.64 EV: -16.0%
Draw 32.2%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +6.3%
Away 16.6%
Odds: 5.60 EV: -7.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.35 -10.7%
Over 3.5 11.4% Odds: 4.50 -48.7%
BTTS 39.6% Odds: 2.20 -12.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Petrojet
1.37
Ismaily
0.46

Model Suggestion

Home -16.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 4.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=51.2%

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