Arema vs Persebaya S. Prediction & Tips

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Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 30 Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium· Gianyar Tuesday, April 28, 2026 08:30

Arema PPG 1.43

0-4 MISS

Persebaya S. PPG 1.43

Away· +15.1% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -35.5%

Draw 30.3%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +3.0%

Away 40.4%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +15.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: 1.80 -8.0%

Over 3.5 27.6% Odds: 3.00 -17.2%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.65 -4.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Arema

1.11

Persebaya S.

1.54

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+15.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.43)