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Wiener SC vs SV Horn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 27 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 1.29 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

SV Horn

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 76.5% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6% — a clear edge.

+40.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.8%0-211.5%0-310.0%0-4+12.2%1 1-02.6%1-16.9%1-29.0%1-37.8%1-4+9.5%2 2-01.0%2-12.7%2-23.5%2-33.0%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.9%3-30.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 8.9% 29.4% 3.40 -69.7%

Draw 14.6% 27.8% 3.60 -47.4%

Away win 76.5% 54.6% 1.83 +40.0%

Over 2.5 65.9% 57.8% 1.73 +14.0%

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 50.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob50.3%

A 76% / xG 0.8-2.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 0–3 10.0%

#3 1–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 8.8%

#5 1–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC0.8

SV Horn2.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 1.29

SV HORN · PPG 0.92

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 8.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -69.7%

Draw 14.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -47.4%

SV Horn (A) 76.5%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV +40.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face SV Horn in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 9% chance, the draw 15% and SV Horn 77%, so SV Horn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Wiener SC and 2.6 for SV Horn (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.92 for SV Horn. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +40.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Wiener SC vs SV Horn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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