Al Jandal vs Al Orubah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 31 Al-Jouf University Stadium· Sakakah Monday, April 27, 2026 17:50

Al Jandal PPG 1.13

1-2 HIT CS4

Al Orubah PPG 2.13

Draw· +3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jandal face Al Orubah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jandal a 14% chance, the draw 29% and Al Orubah 57%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Jandal and 1.9 for Al Orubah (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jandal are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 2.13 for Al Orubah. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.4%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -35.2%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +3.3%

Away 56.8%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -5.1%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%

Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: 3.00 -11.8%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.73 -9.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✔

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Jandal

0.80

Al Orubah

1.94

Model SuggestionAway -5.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -5.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)