Today / Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 / Al Jandal vs Al Orubah

Al Jandal vs Al Orubah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 31 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 17:50

Al Jandal

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Orubah

PPG 2.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 56.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-112.6%0-212.2%0-37.9%0-4+6.0%1 1-05.2%1-110.0%1-29.7%1-36.3%1-4+4.8%2 2-02.1%2-14.0%2-23.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.5%3-11.1%3-21.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.4% 22.2% 4.50 -35.2%

Draw 28.7% 27.8% 3.60 +3.3%

Away win 56.8% 59.9% 1.67 -5.1%

Over 2.5 51.6% 55.6% 1.80 -7.1%

Over 3.5 29.4% 33.3% 3.00 -11.8%

BTTS 52.6% 57.8% 1.73 -9.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob52.6%

A 57% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.2%

#2 1–1 10.0%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–2✓ 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jandal0.8

Al Orubah1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JANDAL · PPG 1.13

AL ORUBAH · PPG 2.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jandal (H) 14.4%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -35.2%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +3.3%

Al Orubah (A) 56.8%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jandal face Al Orubah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jandal a 14% chance, the draw 29% and Al Orubah 57%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Jandal and 1.9 for Al Orubah (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jandal are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 2.13 for Al Orubah. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Jandal vs Al Orubah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Predictions