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Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 17:00

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-110.1%0-27.6%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.0%1-112.1%1-29.1%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.8%2-17.2%2-25.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.9%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 30.8% 3.25 +11.2%

Draw 28.3% 33.3% 3.00 -15.1%

Away win 37.5% 50.0% 2.00 -25.0%

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 28.6% — — —

BTTS 58.5% 58.8% 1.70 -0.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.5%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.7%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Batumi1.2

Torpedo Kutaisi1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 1.33

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=34.2%

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Batumi (H) 34.2%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +11.2%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -15.1%

Torpedo Kutaisi (A) 37.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -25.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Batumi face Torpedo Kutaisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Batumi a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Torpedo Kutaisi 38%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dinamo Batumi and 1.5 for Torpedo Kutaisi (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Batumi are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for Torpedo Kutaisi. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.2%. This match finished 0-3.

Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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