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Favoritner AC vs TWL Elektra Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 27 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:10

Favoritner AC

PPG 1.18 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

TWL Elektra

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.7%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.7%1-24.8%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-110.0%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.8%3-16.8%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-15.6%4+-22.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.6% 69.4% 1.44 -11.3%

Draw 20.7% 23.8% 4.20 -13.1%

Away win 17.6% 18.2% 5.50 -3.2%

Over 2.5 58.7% 62.5% 1.60 -6.1%

Over 3.5 36.3% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.0%

H 62% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.0%

#2 2–1 10.0%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 1–1 9.7%

#5 3–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Favoritner AC2.0

TWL Elektra1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FAVORITNER AC · PPG 1.18

TWL ELEKTRA · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.55)

Win probability 1X2

Favoritner AC (H) 61.6%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -11.3%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -13.1%

TWL Elektra (A) 17.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -3.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Favoritner AC face TWL Elektra in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Favoritner AC a 62% chance, the draw 21% and TWL Elektra 18%, so Favoritner AC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Favoritner AC and 1.0 for TWL Elektra (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Favoritner AC are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 0.55 for TWL Elektra. This match finished 0-0.

Favoritner AC vs TWL Elektra Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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