Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.57 -5.0%
Over 3.5 44.5% Odds: 2.45 +9.0%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.65 -3.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-2 ✔
2nd 0-2 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 1-3 ✘
5th 0-3 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+9.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value DANGER Home weakness: GOOD (1.53) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)