Sabah vs Karvan Prediction & Tips

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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 29 Bank Respublika Arena Monday, April 27, 2026 16:00

Sabah PPG 2.36

2-0 HIT CS4

Karvan PPG 0.46

Over3.5· +21.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.7%

Odds: 1.11 EV: -12.6%

Draw 16.4%

Odds: 6.75 EV: +10.7%

Away 4.9%

Odds: 19.00 EV: -6.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: 1.35 -8.1%

Over 3.5 65.9% Odds: 1.85 +21.9%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 2.20 -12.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 5-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 4-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sabah

4.13

Karvan

0.38

Model SuggestionHome -12.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 66%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 23.6%

Bet Hit 57% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.36), Away POOR (0.46) - Strong consensus