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Persija vs Persis Solo Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Regular Season - 30 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 12:00

Persija

PPG 2.21 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Persis Solo

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 70.2% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-11.8%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.1%1-15.2%1-21.7%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.0%2-17.7%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.8%3-17.6%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-018.0%4+-111.5%4+-23.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.2% 80.0% 1.25 -12.3%

Draw 20.6% 20.0% 5.00 +3.0%

Away win 9.2% 10.4% 9.60 -11.7%

Over 2.5 60.5% 67.6% 1.48 -10.5%

Over 3.5 48.3% 46.5% 2.15 +3.8%

BTTS 51.8% 56.5% 1.77 -8.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.1%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob51.8%

H 70% / xG 2.9-0.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%

#2 3–0 11.8%

#3 4–0✓ 8.7%

#4 2–1 7.7%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Persija2.9

Persis Solo0.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PERSIJA · PPG 2.21

PERSIS SOLO · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.21), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Persija (H) 70.2%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -12.3%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.0%

Persis Solo (A) 9.2%

ODDS 9.60 · IMPLIED 10.4% EV -11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Persija face Persis Solo in Indonesia - Liga 1 on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Persija a 70% chance, the draw 21% and Persis Solo 9%, so Persija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Persija and 0.6 for Persis Solo (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Persija are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 0.79 for Persis Solo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Persija vs Persis Solo Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Indonesia - Liga 1 Predictions