Bragantino vs Palmeiras Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 13 Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques· Bragança Paulista Sunday, April 26, 2026 21:30

Bragantino PPG 1.67

0-1 HIT CS4

Palmeiras PPG 1.83

Over2.5· +6.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bragantino face Palmeiras in Brazil - Serie A on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bragantino a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Palmeiras 33%, so Bragantino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bragantino and 1.4 for Palmeiras (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bragantino are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.83 for Palmeiras. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.7%

Odds: 2.96 EV: +5.7%

Draw 31.7%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +1.4%

Away 32.6%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -22.4%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 2.10 +6.0%

Over 3.5 27.0% Odds: 3.75 +1.3%

BTTS 57.9% Odds: 1.80 +4.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bragantino

1.22

Palmeiras

1.41

Model SuggestionBTTS +4.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+6.0%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.83)