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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 13 Arena da Baixada· Curitiba Sunday, April 26, 2026 21:30
Athletico PR logo Athletico PR PPG 2.50
3-1 MISS
Vitoria logo Vitoria PPG 0.40
Over3.5· +54.6% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.7%
Odds: 1.63 EV: +0.6%
Draw 22.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -20.5%
Away 15.6%
Odds: 5.80 EV: -9.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 2.20 +29.8%
Over 3.5 36.8% Odds: 4.20 +54.6%
BTTS 51.0% Odds: 2.10 +7.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletico PR
2.40
Vitoria
0.67

Model Suggestion

Home +0.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+54.6%)

League Track Record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=61.7%

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