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Xelaju vs Coban Imperial Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional

Clausura - 22 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 21:00

Xelaju

PPG 2.60 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Coban Imperial

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.90) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-12.3%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.7%1-16.2%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-18.3%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-17.4%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.9%4+-19.5%4+-23.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.9% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 9.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 42.3% — — —

BTTS 49.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 62%

ROI 33.0%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.8%

H 68% / xG 2.7-0.6 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.1%

#2 3–0 11.7%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 2–1✓ 8.3%

#5 4–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Xelaju2.7

Coban Imperial0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

XELAJU · PPG 2.60

COBAN IMPERIAL · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.90) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Xelaju (H) 67.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Coban Imperial (A) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Xelaju face Coban Imperial in Guatemala - Liga Nacional on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Xelaju a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Coban Imperial 10%, so Xelaju are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Xelaju and 0.6 for Coban Imperial (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Xelaju are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.90 for Coban Imperial. This match finished 2-1.

Xelaju vs Coban Imperial Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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