← Back to picks

Coban Imperial vs Achuapa Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional

Guatemala - Liga Nacional logo Guatemala flag Guatemala - Liga Nacional Clausura - 21 Estadio Verapaz Sunday, April 19, 2026 21:00
Coban Imperial logo Coban Imperial PPG 2.00
3-1 MISS
Achuapa logo Achuapa PPG 0.50
Over3.5· +50.1% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Coban Imperial face Achuapa in Guatemala - Liga Nacional on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coban Imperial a 89% chance, the draw 8% and Achuapa 2%, so Coban Imperial are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Coban Imperial and 0.4 for Achuapa (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coban Imperial are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Achuapa. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +50.1%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 89.3%
Odds: 1.40 EV: +25.0%
Draw 8.3%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -66.8%
Away 2.4%
Odds: 7.75 EV: -81.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.95 +27.5%
Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: 3.45 +50.1%
BTTS 28.7% Odds: 2.15 -38.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 5-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Coban Imperial
3.01
Achuapa
0.36

Model Suggestion

Home +25.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+50.1%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org