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Municipal PPG 2.30 
Mixco PPG 0.90
Municipal vs Mixco Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional
Municipal PPG 2.303-0 HIT CS2
Mixco PPG 0.90 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Municipal face Mixco in Guatemala - Liga Nacional on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Municipal a 61% chance, the draw 22% and Mixco 17%, so Municipal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Municipal and 0.8 for Mixco (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Municipal are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 0.90 for Mixco. This match finished 3-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 44.6% Odds: — —
BTTS 55.3% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✔
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Municipal 2.61
Mixco 0.81
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 13 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 69%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 62%
ROI 30.4%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.30) vs P(Home)=60.8%