Marquense vs Municipal Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

Marquense face Municipal in Guatemala - Liga Nacional on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marquense a 69% chance, the draw 19% and Municipal 13%, so Marquense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Marquense and 0.8 for Municipal (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marquense are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 0.90 for Municipal. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +119.2%. This match finished 1-3.