Herediano vs Sporting SJ Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Costa-Rica - Primera División Clausura - 18 Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero· Heredia Sunday, April 26, 2026 02:00

Herediano PPG 2.63

0-0 HIT CS4

Sporting SJ PPG 1.75

Home· +6.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Herediano face Sporting SJ in Costa-Rica - Primera División on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herediano a 66% chance, the draw 25% and Sporting SJ 10%, so Herediano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Herediano and 0.4 for Sporting SJ (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herediano are averaging 2.63 points per game versus 1.75 for Sporting SJ. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.6%

Odds: 1.62 EV: +6.3%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -11.6%

Away 9.5%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -52.5%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.93 -3.5%

Over 3.5 22.2% Odds: 3.25 -27.9%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 1.83 -27.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✔

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Herediano

2.04

Sporting SJ

0.36

Model SuggestionHome +6.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.63), Away GOOD (1.75) - Strong consensus