Today / Costa-Rica - Primera División / Puntarenas FC vs Perez Zeledon

Puntarenas FC vs Perez Zeledon Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 01:00

Puntarenas FC

PPG 1.03 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Perez Zeledon

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-17.9%0-23.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.9%1-112.1%1-25.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.3%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.1%3-14.8%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% 45.5% 2.20 +2.7%

Draw 26.4% 30.8% 3.25 -8.5%

Away win 26.9% 33.9% 2.95 -12.4%

Over 2.5 50.1% 51.8% 1.93 -3.3%

Over 3.5 28.1% 29.9% 3.35 -3.5%

BTTS 49.5% 58.8% 1.70 -15.8%

Home O1.5 42.7% 46.5% 2.15 -8.2%

Away O1.5 25.7% 37.7% 2.65 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

H 47% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0✓ 12.9%

#3 2–0 10.0%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puntarenas FC1.5

Perez Zeledon0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PUNTARENAS FC · PPG 1.03

PEREZ ZELEDON · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Puntarenas FC (H) 46.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +2.7%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.5%

Perez Zeledon (A) 26.9%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -12.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Puntarenas FC face Perez Zeledon in Costa-Rica - Primera División on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puntarenas FC a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Perez Zeledon 27%, so Puntarenas FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Puntarenas FC and 0.9 for Perez Zeledon (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puntarenas FC are averaging 1.03 points per game versus 0.88 for Perez Zeledon. This match finished 1-0.

Puntarenas FC vs Perez Zeledon Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Costa-Rica - Primera División Predictions