R. Aguilas PPG 1.44
Once Caldas PPG 1.38R. Aguilas face Once Caldas in Colombia - Primera A on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Aguilas a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Once Caldas 32%, so R. Aguilas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for R. Aguilas and 1.3 for Once Caldas (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Aguilas are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.38 for Once Caldas. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.9%. This match finished 2-2.
Based on 16 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.38)