Today / Jamaica - Premier League / Treasure Beach vs Dunbeholden

Treasure Beach vs Dunbeholden Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 37 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 20:30

Treasure Beach

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dunbeholden

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.4%0-25.7%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.1%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.6%2-18.3%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.2%3-13.5%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 29.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

D 33% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0✓ 12.0%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Treasure Beach1.3

Dunbeholden1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TREASURE BEACH · PPG 1.00

DUNBEHOLDEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Treasure Beach (H) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dunbeholden (A) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Treasure Beach face Dunbeholden in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treasure Beach a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Dunbeholden 30%, so Treasure Beach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Treasure Beach and 1.1 for Dunbeholden (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treasure Beach are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Dunbeholden. This match finished 1-0.

Treasure Beach vs Dunbeholden Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions