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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 13 Arena do Grêmio· Porto Alegre Sunday, April 26, 2026 19:00
Gremio logo Gremio PPG 2.20
1-0 HIT CS3
Coritiba logo Coritiba PPG 1.83
Away· +12.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.4%
Odds: 1.96 EV: -18.9%
Draw 30.4%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -1.2%
Away 28.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +12.8%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 2.20 +11.1%
Over 3.5 26.3% Odds: 4.20 +10.5%
BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.93 +11.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio
1.47
Coritiba
1.13

Model Suggestion

BTTS +11.6% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+12.8%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.83)

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