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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 34 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza· Milan Sunday, April 26, 2026 18:45
AC Milan logo AC Milan PPG 1.94
0-0 HIT CS2
Juventus logo Juventus PPG 1.69
Home· +10.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%
Odds: 2.88 EV: +10.3%
Draw 33.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +2.6%
Away 28.6%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -28.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: 2.00 -11.2%
Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 3.45 -34.8%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.73 -9.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan
1.27
Juventus
0.97

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.94), Away GOOD (1.69)

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