Cusco vs Sport Huancayo Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Peru - Primera División Apertura - 12 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Sunday, April 26, 2026 18:15

Cusco PPG 2.00

2-1 HIT CS2

Sport Huancayo PPG 0.40

Over3.5· +46.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cusco face Sport Huancayo in Peru - Primera División on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cusco a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Sport Huancayo 25%, so Cusco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Cusco and 1.1 for Sport Huancayo (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cusco are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.40 for Sport Huancayo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +46.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.4%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -0.7%

Draw 25.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -14.7%

Away 24.5%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -8.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.2% Odds: 1.95 +15.4%

Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 3.40 +46.5%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.73 +1.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cusco

2.23

Sport Huancayo

1.12

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +15.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+46.5%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.4%