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Deportivo Moron vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 11 Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano· Moron Sunday, April 26, 2026 18:00
Deportivo Moron logo Deportivo Moron PPG 2.60
2-1 HIT CS5
Racing Cordoba logo Racing Cordoba PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +97.7% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Moron face Racing Cordoba in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Moron a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Racing Cordoba 8%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Deportivo Moron and 0.4 for Racing Cordoba (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Moron are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Racing Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +97.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.1%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +31.5%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -43.0%
Away 7.8%
Odds: 5.25 EV: -59.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 3.35 +97.7%
Over 3.5 36.7% Odds: —
BTTS 48.3% Odds: 2.65 +28.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Moron
2.63
Racing Cordoba
0.43

Model Suggestion

Home +31.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+97.7%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org