Yacoub El Manso vs FAR Rabat Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 16 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah· Rabat Sunday, April 26, 2026 17:00

Yacoub El Manso PPG 0.57

2-2 MISS

FAR Rabat PPG 1.86

Draw· +7.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Yacoub El Manso face FAR Rabat in Morocco - Botola Pro on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yacoub El Manso a 8% chance, the draw 29% and FAR Rabat 62%, so FAR Rabat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Yacoub El Manso and 1.7 for FAR Rabat (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yacoub El Manso are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.86 for FAR Rabat. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 8.4%

Odds: 6.00 EV: -49.6%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +7.0%

Away 62.4%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -4.5%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: 2.10 -6.8%

Over 3.5 15.3% Odds: 3.70 -43.4%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 2.10 -16.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-3 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Yacoub El Manso

0.32

FAR Rabat

1.74

Model SuggestionAway -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.57)