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Leganes vs FC Andorra Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 37 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 16:30

Leganes

PPG 1.35 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

FC Andorra

PPG 1.39 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away AVERAGE (1.39)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.9%0-24.8%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.6%1-112.6%1-26.8%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.2%2-18.9%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.9%3-14.2%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% — — —

Draw 31.5% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.3% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.7%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.6%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leganes1.4

FC Andorra1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LEGANES · PPG 1.35

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.39

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away AVERAGE (1.39)

Win probability 1X2

Leganes (H) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Andorra (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Leganes face FC Andorra in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leganes a 40% chance, the draw 32% and FC Andorra 28%, so Leganes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Leganes and 1.1 for FC Andorra (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leganes are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.39 for FC Andorra. This match finished 0-4.

Leganes vs FC Andorra Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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