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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 37 Estadio El Alcoraz· Huesca Sunday, April 26, 2026 16:30
Huesca logo Huesca PPG 1.39
1-0 HIT CS3
Real Zaragoza logo Real Zaragoza PPG 0.94
Home· +9.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.1%
Odds: 2.60 EV: +9.5%
Draw 31.8%
Odds: 2.92 EV: -7.1%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -24.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: 2.20 -2.3%
Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 4.20 -20.6%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.83 -3.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Huesca
1.32
Real Zaragoza
0.92

Model Suggestion

BTTS -3.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away POOR (0.94)

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