Cartagena vs Gimnastic T. Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 34 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova· Cartagena Sunday, April 26, 2026 16:15

Cartagena PPG 1.94

1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Gimnastic T. PPG 0.81

Over2.5· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.9%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -4.0%

Draw 29.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.6%

Away 18.4%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -22.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.20 +10.0%

Over 3.5 20.4% Odds: 4.00 -18.4%

BTTS 49.5% Odds: 1.93 -4.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cartagena

1.71

Gimnastic T.

0.61

Model SuggestionHome -4.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -4.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=51.9%