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Hankofen-H. vs Augsburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 29 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 16:00

Hankofen-H.

PPG 0.71 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Augsburg B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 54.9% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-113.1%0-210.7%0-35.8%0-4+3.4%1 1-07.1%1-111.7%1-29.5%1-35.2%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.2%2-15.2%2-24.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.5%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.4% 31.3% 3.20 -34.7%

Draw 24.7% 26.7% 3.75 -7.4%

Away win 54.9% 51.3% 1.95 +7.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 61.7% 1.62 -25.2%

Over 3.5 24.7% 38.5% 2.60 -35.8%

BTTS 47.4% 65.4% 1.53 -27.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob47.4%

A 55% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.1%

#2 1–1 11.7%

#3 0–2 10.7%

#4 1–2 9.5%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hankofen-H.0.9

Augsburg B1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HANKOFEN-H. · PPG 0.71

AUGSBURG B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Hankofen-H. (H) 20.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -34.7%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.4%

Augsburg B (A) 54.9%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hankofen-H. face Augsburg B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hankofen-H. a 20% chance, the draw 25% and Augsburg B 55%, so Augsburg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Hankofen-H. and 1.6 for Augsburg B (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hankofen-H. are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Augsburg B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Hankofen-H. vs Augsburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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