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Ternana W vs Fiorentina W Prediction— Italy - Serie A Women

Italy - Serie A Women logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 19 Stadio Libero Liberati· Terni Sunday, April 26, 2026 16:00
Ternana W logo Ternana W PPG 1.00
2-2 MISS
Fiorentina W logo Fiorentina W PPG 1.22
Home· +15.2% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ternana W face Fiorentina W in Italy - Serie A Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ternana W a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Fiorentina W 42%, so Fiorentina W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ternana W and 1.7 for Fiorentina W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ternana W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.22 for Fiorentina W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.2%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +15.2%
Draw 29.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -1.7%
Away 41.5%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -27.4%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 31.6% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.73 +1.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ternana W
1.16
Fiorentina W
1.67

Model Suggestion

BTTS +1.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Home(+15.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 38%
BTTS/No 42%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -71.2%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org