A. Cerignola vs Altamura Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 37 Stadio Domenico Monterisi· Cerignola Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:30

A. Cerignola PPG 1.67

1-1 HIT CS3

Altamura PPG 1.11

Home· +1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Cerignola face Altamura in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Cerignola a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Altamura 15%, so A. Cerignola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for A. Cerignola and 0.8 for Altamura (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Cerignola are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.11 for Altamura. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.4%

Odds: 1.60 EV: +1.4%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -21.2%

Away 14.7%

Odds: 5.10 EV: -25.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.6% Odds: 1.85 -10.1%

Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 3.10 -16.9%

BTTS 45.0% Odds: 1.80 -19.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Cerignola

1.86

Altamura

0.76

Model SuggestionHome +1.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)