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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern
Bayern - 29
SMR-Arena· Buchbach
Friday, April 17, 2026
17:00
Buchbach
PPG 1.57
0-3
MISS
Illertissen
PPG 1.93
Over3.5· +54.5%
⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
22.3%
Odds: 2.65
EV: -40.9%
Draw
17.9%
Odds: 3.70
EV: -33.8%
Away
59.9%
Odds: 2.20
EV: +31.8%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
80.0%
Odds: 1.60
+28.0%
Over 3.5
61.8%
Odds: 2.50
+54.5%
BTTS
74.6%
Odds: 1.50
+11.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-2
✘
2nd
1-3
✘
3rd
2-2
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
2-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Buchbach
1.62
Illertissen
2.66
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+28.0%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+54.5%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 53 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
57%
O2.5/Under
59%
BTTS/No
51%
Score Hit
28%
ROI
-0.4%
Bet Hit
56%
(16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65%
DANGER
Home weakness: GOOD (1.57) vs Away GOOD (1.93)