NK Celje vs Aluminij Prediction & Tips

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Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 32 Stadion Z'dežele· Celje Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:30

NK Celje PPG 2.57

5-0 MISS

Aluminij PPG 1.21

Draw· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.8%

Odds: 1.23 EV: -14.1%

Draw 20.9%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +14.9%

Away 9.3%

Odds: 10.25 EV: -4.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.0% Odds: 1.36 -17.0%

Over 3.5 56.1% Odds: 1.90 +6.6%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.65 -4.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

NK Celje

3.14

Aluminij

0.83

Model SuggestionHome -14.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-14.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.57), Away AVERAGE (1.21) - Strong consensus