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Spain - Segunda División
Regular Season - 37
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes· Granada
Sunday, April 26, 2026
14:15
Granada
PPG 1.44
2-4
MISS
Almeria
PPG 1.28
Home· +24.9%
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
42.2%
Odds: 2.96
EV: +24.9%
Draw
29.1%
Odds: 3.15
EV: -8.3%
Away
28.8%
Odds: 2.40
EV: -30.9%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.0%
Odds: 1.77
+4.4%
Over 3.5
42.9%
Odds: 2.88
+23.5%
BTTS
58.5%
Odds: 1.57
-8.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Granada
1.81
Almeria
1.53
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+4.4%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Home(+24.9%)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.28)