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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 37 Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes· Granada Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:15
Granada logo Granada PPG 1.44
2-4 MISS
Almeria logo Almeria PPG 1.28
Home· +24.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%
Odds: 2.96 EV: +24.9%
Draw 29.1%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -8.3%
Away 28.8%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -30.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.77 +4.4%
Over 3.5 42.9% Odds: 2.88 +23.5%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.57 -8.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Granada
1.81
Almeria
1.53

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +4.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+24.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.28)

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