← Back to picks 
Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Friday, April 17, 2026 17:00 
Zwickau PPG 2.29 
BFC Preussen PPG 1.36
Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Friday, April 17, 2026 17:00 Zwickau PPG 2.291-0 HIT CS4
BFC Preussen PPG 1.36Away· +15.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 56.5% Odds: 1.70 -4.0%
Over 3.5 34.1% Odds: 2.75 -6.2%
BTTS 58.9% Odds: 1.60 -5.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✔
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zwickau 1.62
BFC Preussen 1.33
Model Suggestion
BTTS -5.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+15.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+15.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 36 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (6 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=44.2%