Sevilla FC B vs Algeciras Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 34 Estadio Jesus Navas· Sevilla Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00

Sevilla FC B PPG 1.06

0-2 MISS

Algeciras PPG 0.81

Home· +29.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sevilla FC B face Algeciras in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sevilla FC B a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Algeciras 28%, so Sevilla FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sevilla FC B and 0.7 for Algeciras (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sevilla FC B are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.81 for Algeciras. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.3%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +29.3%

Draw 33.7%

Odds: 2.88 EV: -2.9%

Away 27.6%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -39.3%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.9% Odds: 2.45 -12.0%

Over 3.5 6.7% Odds: 4.50 -69.8%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 1.95 -22.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla FC B

0.82

Algeciras

0.69

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 46%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 65.2%

Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.81)