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Levadia vs Narva Trans Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:00

Levadia

PPG 2.20 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Narva Trans

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.5%1-10.9%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-03.8%2-12.4%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-06.8%3-14.1%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-041.9%4+-125.6%4+-27.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 83.5% — — —

Draw 11.7% — — —

Away win 4.7% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 83.9% — — —

BTTS 51.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)5.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob51.7%

H 84% / xG 5.3-0.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 9.4%

#2 4–0 8.9%

#3 3–0 6.8%

#4 5–1 5.8%

#5 4–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levadia5.3

Narva Trans0.6

COMBINED 5.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 83.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVADIA · PPG 2.20

NARVA TRANS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Levadia (H) 83.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Narva Trans (A) 4.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Levadia face Narva Trans in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levadia a 84% chance, the draw 12% and Narva Trans 5%, so Levadia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.3 for Levadia and 0.6 for Narva Trans (5.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levadia are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.00 for Narva Trans. This match finished 7-0.

Levadia vs Narva Trans Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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