HB Koge vs Aalborg BK Prediction & Tips

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Denmark - 1. Division Relegation Group - 27 Capelli Sport Stadion· Koge Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00

HB Koge PPG 1.54

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Aalborg BK PPG 1.23

Over3.5· +12.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.3%

Odds: 2.46 EV: -15.6%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -4.1%

Away 37.5%

Odds: 2.56 EV: -4.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.67 -1.5%

Over 3.5 42.4% Odds: 2.65 +12.4%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

HB Koge

1.49

Aalborg BK

1.83

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+12.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)