Rangers vs Motherwell Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 34 Ibrox Stadium· Glasgow Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00

Rangers PPG 2.24

2-3 MISS

Motherwell PPG 1.19

Away· +35.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers face Motherwell in Scotland - Premiership on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Motherwell 25%, so Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rangers and 1.0 for Motherwell (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers are averaging 2.24 points per game versus 1.19 for Motherwell. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.0%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.5%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -28.8%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 4.30 EV: +22.1%

Away 25.0%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +35.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.55 -11.3%

Over 3.5 31.5% Odds: 2.35 -26.0%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.62 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Rangers

1.84

Motherwell

0.99

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+35.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.4%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.24) vs P(Home)=46.5%