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Siauliai vs TransINVEST Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

Siauliai

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

TransINVEST

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-110.4%0-27.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.3%1-112.6%1-28.5%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.6%2-17.6%2-25.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.3%3-13.1%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 32.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.8%

D 32% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.7%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Siauliai1.2

TransINVEST1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SIAULIAI · PPG 1.00

TRANSINVEST · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Siauliai (H) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TransINVEST (A) 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Siauliai face TransINVEST in Lithuania - A Lyga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siauliai a 36% chance, the draw 32% and TransINVEST 33%, so Siauliai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Siauliai and 1.4 for TransINVEST (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siauliai are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for TransINVEST. This match finished 0-4.

Siauliai vs TransINVEST Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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