Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Kolding IF vs AC Horsens

Kolding IF vs AC Horsens Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 25 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Kolding IF

PPG 1.75 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

AC Horsens

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.5%0-115.4%0-27.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.2%2-15.8%2-22.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% 42.0% 2.38 -24.1%

Draw 32.9% 32.8% 3.05 +0.3%

Away win 35.2% 34.0% 2.94 +3.5%

Over 2.5 26.9% 45.5% 2.20 -40.8%

Over 3.5 10.9% 25.0% 4.00 -56.4%

BTTS 35.2% 54.1% 1.85 -34.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob35.2%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 27% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.5%

#2 0–1✓ 15.4%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 1–1 13.4%

#5 0–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolding IF0.9

AC Horsens0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 26.9% · O3.5 PROB 10.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.75

AC HORSENS · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Kolding IF (H) 31.9%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -24.1%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +0.3%

AC Horsens (A) 35.2%

ODDS 2.94 · IMPLIED 34.0% EV +3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolding IF face AC Horsens in Denmark - 1. Division on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolding IF a 32% chance, the draw 33% and AC Horsens 35%, so AC Horsens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Kolding IF and 0.9 for AC Horsens (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolding IF are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.33 for AC Horsens. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Kolding IF vs AC Horsens Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 1. Division Predictions