Primorje vs Radomlje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 32 Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina· Nova Gorica Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Primorje PPG 1.36

2-3 MISS

Radomlje PPG 1.14

Away· +35.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Primorje face Radomlje in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Primorje a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Radomlje 44%, so Radomlje are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Primorje and 2.1 for Radomlje (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Primorje are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.14 for Radomlje. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.8%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.6%

Odds: 2.08 EV: -42.6%

Draw 28.6%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +0.1%

Away 43.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +35.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.60 -3.2%

Over 3.5 46.3% Odds: 2.50 +15.8%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.48 -13.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Primorje

1.44

Radomlje

2.06

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -3.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 85.1%

Bet Hit 91% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.14)