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Folgore vs SM Academy Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato logo San-Marino flag San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 29 Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Folgore logo Folgore PPG 1.86
3-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
SM Academy logo SM Academy PPG 0.64
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Folgore face SM Academy in San-Marino - Campionato on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Folgore a 86% chance, the draw 10% and SM Academy 4%, so Folgore are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Folgore and 0.6 for SM Academy (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Folgore are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.64 for SM Academy. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 85.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 9.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 4.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 50.1% Odds: —
BTTS 43.0% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Folgore
3.08
SM Academy
0.60

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.86), Away POOR (0.64) - Strong consensus

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