Today / Denmark - 1. Division / B 93 vs HB Koge

B 93 vs HB Koge Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Relegation Group - 25 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

B 93

PPG 0.83 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

HB Koge

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.7%0-26.4%0-33.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.5%1-110.9%1-29.0%1-35.0%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.6%2-17.6%2-26.4%2-33.5%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.1%3-13.6%3-23.0%3-31.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% 40.3% 2.48 -19.4%

Draw 23.8% 28.2% 3.55 -15.5%

Away win 43.7% 40.7% 2.46 +7.5%

Over 2.5 59.2% 65.4% 1.53 -9.4%

Over 3.5 36.8% 43.5% 2.30 -15.4%

BTTS 61.2% 70.4% 1.42 -13.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.2%

A 44% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2✓ 9.0%

#3 0–1 7.7%

#4 2–1 7.6%

#5 1–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B 931.4

HB Koge1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.2% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

B 93 · PPG 0.83

HB KOGE · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.83), Away POOR (0.55)

Win probability 1X2

B 93 (H) 32.5%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV -19.4%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -15.5%

HB Koge (A) 43.7%

ODDS 2.46 · IMPLIED 40.7% EV +7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

B 93 face HB Koge in Denmark - 1. Division on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B 93 a 33% chance, the draw 24% and HB Koge 44%, so HB Koge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for B 93 and 1.7 for HB Koge (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B 93 are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.55 for HB Koge. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 1-2.

B 93 vs HB Koge Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 1. Division Predictions