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Frosinone U20 vs Lazio U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 35 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Frosinone U20

PPG 1.12 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Lazio U20

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.12), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.2%0-26.6%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.4%1-112.1%1-28.7%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.5%2-17.9%2-25.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.4%3-13.5%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.0% — — —

Draw 30.0% — — —

Away win 33.0% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.5%

D 30% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.4%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 0–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frosinone U201.3

Lazio U201.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FROSINONE U20 · PPG 1.12

LAZIO U20 · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.12), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

Frosinone U20 (H) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lazio U20 (A) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Frosinone U20 face Lazio U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frosinone U20 a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Lazio U20 33%, so Frosinone U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Frosinone U20 and 1.4 for Lazio U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frosinone U20 are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 1.12 for Lazio U20. This match finished 0-3.

Frosinone U20 vs Lazio U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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